Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1ea6b6f8f831acefaf0aedede4c387b6df6b7ed76661c40fa1ca3beef3ab3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 10,482$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.82 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 3,842$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 2,264$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.01 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 906.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 6c | 845.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 24c | 707.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 19c | 582$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 19c | 504$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 399.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 19c | 396.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 17c | 337.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 273$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 6c | 262.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 11c | 181.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 171.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…be49backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 141.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 18c | 114.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…105dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…291abacked Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 21c | 96.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed No | 79c | 92.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 28c | 72.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 24.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.