Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cad2985cc8734a25029dd6a2edd1fa37b42b6b67c8de66316206ad70a602e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 10c | 49,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 5c | 17,116$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 9c | 4,917$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.57 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 10c | 3,738$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 2,856$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 8c | 2,826$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…5977backed Yes | 3c | 1,855$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 80c | 1,700$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 11c | 1,377$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 9c | 1,196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 1,117$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,023$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 10c | 964.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked Yes | 10c | 690$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +120%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 437.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…b275backed Yes | 10c | 249.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…a5f3backed Yes | 6c | 175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 9c | 173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 125.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…105dbacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…4807backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.