TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes56c24,516$13,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,786.919649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No44c3,674$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes56c3,585$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.9310273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c2,894$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.511,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No8c2,808$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.493135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No44c2,773$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No44c2,302$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0131145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c1,572$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c1,198$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c1,050$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.681,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c1,021$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No31c935.6$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.777951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No44c908.38$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2716657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No44c878.63$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2618655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes72c827.93$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9411454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No42c746.09$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.363348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No44c654$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7619347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No42c623.32$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8725851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No17c572.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No44c464.8$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.520043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No24c458.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3923548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No11c422.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3220849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked No49c306.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed No13c300.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9290%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No29c298.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c261.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No6c235.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes72c234.72$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2613952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c210.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30b8…cad4backed No43c187.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4410853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes59c169.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede7…e982backed No43c161.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No15c160.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c150.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca96…c3a0backed Yes58c142.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No30c133.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes69c129.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0352639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No9c123.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3312247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No16c123.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c121$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b67…d6febacked Yes58c112.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No15c103$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-58.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No47c99.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.587758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb662…ed64backed Yes58c92.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes67c81.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.621,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No17c75.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes62c61.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.377974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No44c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.447953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314c…95b1backed Yes59c50.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes61c48.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8815458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes71c45.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes58c42.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.884355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No42c42.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8418651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed No44c38.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes72c38.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.842343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes55c36.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No43c36.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.539848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…9f9ebacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e7…adf3backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No41c33.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.229460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes77c31.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.910754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8577…2423backed No41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Yes53c28.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes62c27.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Yes58c27.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.592540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes74c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes69c27.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1019…b64ebacked No41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e8…d1eabacked Yes60c26.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No44c26.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.726150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8813259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes70c22.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e1…a35fbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.45862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.