Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32df2ffd55a0e815fc42e234ee9b40fdc0d3a0a558864571a1b0f419caf470b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 5,467$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.75 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 2,834$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.37 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 1,891$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.84 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 1,744$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 1,273$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 5c | 996.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 875$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked No | 80c | 830$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 80c | 828.28$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 719$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 20c | 604.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 21c | 579.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 16c | 466.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 17c | 432$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 12c | 288$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 13c | 280$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 79c | 247.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 25c | 198.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 196.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 79c | 185$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 26c | 182.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…02ddbacked No | 76c | 159.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 75c | 144.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 138.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 116.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 77.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 76.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 66.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 78c | 65.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked Yes | 20c | 50.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 40.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 39.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.