TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes49c40,000$19,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,449.989649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes49c17,669$8,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,657.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes47c14,589$6,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,856.9913553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No51c10,250$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No53c9,951$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.941275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c9,225$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.252181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c8,593$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.4819560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No53c6,179$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.361030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No26c4,922$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.71,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c4,762$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.461,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c3,810$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.2448344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No54c3,705$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.021060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No51c3,690$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.198563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes47c3,614$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.1823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c3,105$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.413228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No19c2,821$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.2213952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes66c2,335$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.923759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No21c2,276$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No53c2,065$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.2612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No46c2,064$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.7571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes45c1,842$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No51c1,783$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.474959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No42c1,647$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.3198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c1,534$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.551,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No51c1,413$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.272755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c1,368$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.021,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No51c1,342$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6612254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No53c1,340$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No51c1,125$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.253452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No23c1,050$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.6999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed No37c1,050$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c1,030$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes53c1,024$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No9c1,020$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c807.95$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No49c787.92$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.843625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No19c745$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7519960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33612661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No39c683.31$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No33c673.75$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.856936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes73c663$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7719347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No52c591.98$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1511055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Yes47c587.51$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes48c550$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes67c536.15$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8210644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c445.72$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes48c439.28$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No60c419.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3117753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9916960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No49c399.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.516546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No31c399.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1912343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes59c381.61$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.981,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes12c376.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c330.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No6c330$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.24020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No20c325.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.512240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes48c321.24$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.220043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No20c320.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes59c310$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.517137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No52c305.76$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.762763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14115060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14113158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes65c290$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No31c285.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c278.71$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c270.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4219847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No53c260$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No52c260$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes51c230.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No18c227.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.782737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes71c225.88$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.274924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No52c211.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.112250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c210.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No52c203.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15410319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No6c176.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8619645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No52c171.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No52c163.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.612849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0196…75b9backed No25c160.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No53c156$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No52c156$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c143$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x080b…5b74backed Yes72c139.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked No30c133.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.194650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed Yes46c130.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes46c129.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.569555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No50c129.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.612850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c123.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.511,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.