Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3dfd1d99fe90b370a90c2a43378aa11f871c45683d215f0a56ae5cacabeac96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 14,044$8,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.88 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 13,094$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.53 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 63c | 3,327$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,151$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 3,000$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.88 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Team Yandex | 63c | 2,663$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.61 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 1,844$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,704$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.47 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,470$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.43 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 58c | 1,466$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.86 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,224$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,063$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 900.79$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…cc06backed Team Spirit | 11c | 831.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 33c | 699.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 66c | 680.55$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 60c | 628.33$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 424.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…706bbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Spirit | 22c | 356.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 334.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 319.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 41c | 307.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6c62backed Team Yandex | 69c | 278.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 273.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Spirit | 38c | 264.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Spirit | 38c | 259.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Spirit | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…1e2cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 249.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 208.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Team Spirit | 12c | 203$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Yandex | 62c | 188.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…df31backed Team Yandex | 57c | 182.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Yandex | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Spirit | 31c | 162.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Team Spirit | 19c | 159.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Spirit | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 72c | 149.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Yandex | 57c | 144.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Spirit | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Yandex | 63c | 136.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Spirit | 49c | 132.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 72c | 130.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Spirit | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 57c | 124.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 123.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Spirit | 42c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 45c | 99.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Team Spirit | 40c | 94.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Team Yandex | 68c | 92.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 89.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Yandex | 67c | 86.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 82.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 81.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Yandex | 56c | 80.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 77.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Team Spirit | 42c | 75.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 68.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Yandex | 66c | 67.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Team Spirit | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Spirit | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 56.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Yandex | 65c | 56.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Yandex | 50c | 51.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Team Yandex | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Team Yandex | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Spirit | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Team Spirit | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Yandex | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed Team Yandex | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Team Spirit | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…3f51backed Team Spirit | 38c | 39.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 34c | 39.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 39.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…7b57backed Team Spirit | 40c | 38.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Spirit | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Team Spirit | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Team Yandex | 73c | 28.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…cbc7backed Team Spirit | 41c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…551ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team Yandex | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Yandex | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Team Yandex | 73c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.