Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fbbe64db968b3d280629f9f6cb43cc8c8b7445921a7d43b41ed24cbb79313c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Aurora | 38c | 10,097$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 8,641$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.46 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 58c | 5,029$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.13 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 61c | 5,016$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.17 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Spirit | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.04 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Aurora | 39c | 2,921$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.16 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Team Spirit | 63c | 2,865$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 2,510$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Aurora | 67c | 2,010$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.38 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,800$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora | 37c | 1,613$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.47 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 36c | 1,508$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Aurora | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.09 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Aurora | 38c | 1,190$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 49c | 987.19$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.49 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 944.99$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.34 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit | 22c | 796.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Aurora | 36c | 796.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.73 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Aurora | 69c | 781.5$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit | 36c | 743.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 64c | 737$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Aurora | 37c | 731.64$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.45 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 69c | 652.78$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Team Spirit | 62c | 575$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora | 35c | 527.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 62c | 516.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 70c | 509.95$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Team Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Spirit | 63c | 492$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Aurora | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Team Spirit | 64c | 440.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Team Spirit | 42c | 412.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Spirit | 63c | 406.35$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora | 38c | 395.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 386.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 369.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Team Spirit | 64c | 351.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Aurora | 37c | 341$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit | 63c | 330$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 39c | 322.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Spirit | 64c | 307.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Spirit | 62c | 305.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 56c | 292$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…a811backed Aurora | 38c | 263.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 255.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 65c | 253.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 252.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Spirit | 64c | 248.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit | 65c | 247.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…40e5backed Team Spirit | 64c | 234.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Aurora | 35c | 198.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 193$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 190.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Team Spirit | 65c | 190.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…94abbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 188.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora | 40c | 178.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora | 78c | 174$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Spirit | 35c | 173.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Spirit | 52c | 159.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…e5e6backed Aurora | 36c | 157.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Aurora | 36c | 157.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Spirit | 65c | 155.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Team Spirit | 65c | 152.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Spirit | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 33c | 146.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Aurora | 37c | 138.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 128.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Spirit | 17c | 105.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 63c | 104.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…1c0abacked Team Spirit | 40c | 102.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked Aurora | 65c | 101.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Team Spirit | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 99.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Aurora | 36c | 99.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Spirit | 65c | 91.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed Team Spirit | 68c | 83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Aurora | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…30d2backed Team Spirit | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 77.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Aurora | 62c | 71.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e506backed Aurora | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 80c | 65.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Aurora | 35c | 60.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Spirit | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 65c | 56.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Aurora | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Team Spirit | 63c | 50.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Spirit | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…b26fbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 46.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked Aurora | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Aurora | 30c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.