Earnings · resolved market
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a5f4222bf620b27e709fd9e5bbd66730ec80c77e1fe1b90d9a8960efe21480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb20d…db55backed No | 57c | 7,838$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 70c | 7,230$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 68c | 3,579$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.09 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 35c | 3,227$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 63c | 2,787$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 30c | 2,700$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 41c | 2,460$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 69c | 1,960$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.84 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 27c | 1,947$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.26 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7622backed Yes | 31c | 1,930$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed Yes | 37c | 1,920$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…d9debacked Yes | 36c | 1,818$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 74c | 1,631$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…28dfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,369$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Yes | 30c | 1,275$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed No | 77c | 1,143$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…8a11backed Yes | 35c | 1,011$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 989.48$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 77c | 925.49$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 39c | 900$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…0454backed Yes | 25c | 802.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 31c | 787.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24b…752abacked Yes | 2c | 732.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 28c | 699.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 29c | 691.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 37c | 665.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 75c | 628.69$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 45c | 607.35$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…6b91backed Yes | 40c | 590.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 26c | 571.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 567.45$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 70c | 549.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e8c0backed Yes | 9c | 539.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Yes | 28c | 502$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 29c | 486.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.18 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 468.08$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 72c | 451.3$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 71c | 418.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed Yes | 32c | 340.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 31c | 339.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…ee4abacked Yes | 30c | 337.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 30c | 334.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked Yes | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…9d2bbacked No | 64c | 289$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01aa…187bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…d00fbacked Yes | 28c | 279.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 52c | 267.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e1…dd2cbacked Yes | 33c | 256.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…26e3backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 247.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked No | 79c | 245.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 241.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed Yes | 28c | 216.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 205.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 32c | 196.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…f3fbbacked No | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 181.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 180.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…0346backed Yes | 28c | 179.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 28c | 179.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…d695backed Yes | 24c | 167.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…2e57backed Yes | 34c | 153.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 70c | 147.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…389ebacked Yes | 34c | 136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 29c | 135.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…e220backed Yes | 23c | 128.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 64c | 126.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 70c | 113.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…21f7backed Yes | 32c | 112.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed Yes | 27c | 110.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…44c3backed Yes | 32c | 105.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 70c | 104.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 76c | 104.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…0fb1backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…53e3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9747backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…e69dbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked No | 71c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.