TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b97…5e12backed No0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+70.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No45c27,493$12,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,371.7414449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes54c25,215$13,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,507.292,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No4c6,100$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1137971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No48c5,555$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.389627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes55c5,100$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29510734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No45c2,823$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.242,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No48c2,051$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97612241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No47c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9714860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9611654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes53c1,905$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.627431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No1c1,066$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6626330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No43c1,049$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.137959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes58c855.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5810425%26 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No43c803.03$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No46c799.78$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.552763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes52c786.35$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3111642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes55c783.49$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5722846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No46c695.94$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes56c693.72$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.729040%36 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes52c684.34$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.488151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No42c559$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.781,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.456033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No45c541.47$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2433350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No48c541.44$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3515441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes56c532.58$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5820649.5%102 W · 104 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No50c512.5$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.224344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed No41c499.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.810247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed No46c467.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.278247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes55c449.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.520825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21613155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No45c390.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes53c379.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3716341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1789…c997backed Yes55c363$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes55c361.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.88239%32 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8812839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes52c346.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3510527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes54c258.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.058939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No42c219.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.141,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1241…d325backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes71c197.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.713268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed No47c195$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6515229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes55c192.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7328626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc1…560bbacked No47c189.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.293253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed No46c186.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Yes54c186.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0116160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a8…d351backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes55c182.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.327050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8216750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8229636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8255153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…2297backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5945…5971backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Yes56c179.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9315742.7%67 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No19c174.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.172,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes55c174.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5511338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e05…a5c7backed No45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c5…618fbacked Yes53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Yes55c133.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.268652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes55c126.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.312,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed8…82f3backed Yes52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607034.3%24 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c111.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1117148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.546743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes55c103.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6422824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7175…5a88backed Yes55c101.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613138.7%12 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515449.4%76 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…3741backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x824f…e635backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614234.5%49 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes52c99.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes52c95.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3429138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594146.3%19 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acd…53f3backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab24…ec46backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596055%33 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdde3…0d07backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9123544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110642.5%45 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc61…bc17backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9111152.3%58 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes55c80.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-59.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc932…289bbacked Yes68c76.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f8…23d5backed Yes52c67.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.185650%28 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed No46c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.444158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6435848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x601e…5970backed No50c63.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.352669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca1a…261ebacked Yes54c62.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.963762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.