Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12be36b652ae6f8149365598f27b6b5582aede86dc28690ee9a29803b48e18f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 45c | 27,493$12,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,371.74 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 25,215$13,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.29 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 4c | 6,100$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.38 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 55c | 5,100$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 2,823$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 48c | 2,051$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.97 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 53c | 1,905$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.62 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 1c | 1,066$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 1,049$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 58c | 855.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.58 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 43c | 803.03$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.66 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 46c | 799.78$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 52c | 786.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.31 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 55c | 783.49$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.57 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 46c | 695.94$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 56c | 693.72$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 52c | 684.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.48 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 42c | 559$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 45c | 541.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 48c | 541.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 56c | 532.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 50c | 512.5$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 41c | 499.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 46c | 467.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 45c | 390.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 53c | 379.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.37 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1789…c997backed Yes | 55c | 363$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 55c | 361.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 52c | 346.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Yes | 54c | 258.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 42c | 219.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…d325backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 71c | 197.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…560bbacked No | 47c | 189.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed No | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 54c | 186.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Yes | 55c | 182.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…5971backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 56c | 179.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 174.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…a5c7backed No | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…618fbacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Yes | 55c | 133.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 55c | 126.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…82f3backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 111.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 55c | 101.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…3741backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 52c | 99.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 52c | 95.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…3ad3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…53f3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…0d07backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…bc17backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 55c | 80.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…289bbacked Yes | 68c | 76.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…23d5backed Yes | 52c | 67.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601e…5970backed No | 50c | 63.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…261ebacked Yes | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsthis page
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Douglas Santos: 1+ assistsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ goalsNo won
- Josué Duverger: 4+ savesNo won
- Josué Duverger: 5+ savesNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 2+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 4+ shotsNo won
- Raphinha: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.