Fifa International · resolved market
Raphinha: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d7f65ecf42acb611326e0fb190c88bd1e8c6e84ce49edaaaad38d9e3016763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 50c | 10,002$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 50c | 8,556$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.13 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 1,899$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 75c | 1,563$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.23 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 49c | 829.38$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.98 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 761.68$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 31c | 757.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 50c | 579.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 50c | 489.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 47c | 444.76$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 50c | 400.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 50c | 306$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 237.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 52c | 230.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 51c | 213.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 63c | 205.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 205.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 51c | 197.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked No | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…4a39backed Yes | 54c | 185.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 182.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 49c | 178.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 50c | 177$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 107.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2207…036abacked Yes | 48c | 103.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 51c | 100.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…b976backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…ec46backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…82f3backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 53c | 75.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 51c | 67.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 49c | 50.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…bc17backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 49c | 45.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2830backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 45c | 41.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…acebbacked Yes | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…1cabbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…d5c8backed No | 56c | 35.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 35.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…68f1backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…2dd7backed Yes | 50c | 27.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…5bdfbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1905…cd65backed No | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…3d58backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0dadbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…9006backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…cf9cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…33f3backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 18.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…8b45backed Yes | 58c | 18.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsthis page
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Douglas Santos: 1+ assistsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ goalsNo won
- Josué Duverger: 4+ savesNo won
- Josué Duverger: 5+ savesNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 2+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 4+ shotsNo won
- Raphinha: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.