Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cde33dd3c757252d5a210cbb0b8dc077ba39c19bb3edc9d0259ad86df829b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 2c | 10,480$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 7,610$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.46 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,177$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 23c | 888.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 19c | 790.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 78c | 789.09$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 74c | 777.01$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 22c | 557.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…d0a2backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 21c | 423.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes | 23c | 347.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 235$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 21c | 219.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…7d8abacked Yes | 21c | 207.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 59c | 202.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 200.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 28c | 180.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…8e71backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…e9f5backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…68d3backed Yes | 64c | 133.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Yes | 22c | 120.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…5971backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…8098backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…3157backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 86.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 76.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 29c | 68.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 54.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 53.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8519backed Yes | 21c | 52.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80e…cad8backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…0dadbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 22c | 49.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…1cabbacked Yes | 33c | 41.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…be22backed Yes | 34c | 40.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 44c | 29.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 49c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…5c92backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsthis page
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Douglas Santos: 1+ assistsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gabriel Martinelli: 1+ goalsNo won
- Josué Duverger: 4+ savesNo won
- Josué Duverger: 5+ savesNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luiz Henrique: 2+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 4+ shotsNo won
- Raphinha: 5+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.