TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x850b…be22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$31.25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.11
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$9.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.