Fifa International · resolved market
United States to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9baf17863b886608d68b41b24ca61544bf2020948ba114829bc6c3a1abdd99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 41,236$21,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,233.31 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 49c | 27,417$13,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,114.52 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 17,593$8,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,976.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 48c | 15,530$7,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,075.65 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 47c | 8,938$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.44 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 46c | 7,147$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.33 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 6,776$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 53c | 3,172$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.5 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 70c | 2,633$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.11 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 51c | 2,115$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…dbabbacked Yes | 56c | 1,617$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 51c | 1,043$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 733.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 49c | 708$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 46c | 606.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.09 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 47c | 546$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 510.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 305.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…69a3backed Yes | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…52d2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…bc17backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 58c | 197.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…ccbdbacked Yes | 55c | 181.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 66c | 181.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 162.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 46c | 122.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…ad57backed Yes | 54c | 117.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Yes | 52c | 105.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3f…16bfbacked Yes | 55c | 95.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…ebfebacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…8f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 87.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 50c | 80.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 69.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked No | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…ba94backed Yes | 52c | 59.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…563cbacked Yes | 55c | 54.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…03febacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…6d9cbacked Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed No | 43c | 41.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…be22backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…de6dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…3974backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…1e1bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…7f64backed Yes | 44c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…7756backed Yes | 62c | 31.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…943abacked Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…36b0backed Yes | 54c | 29.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…4dd5backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…c648backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…a945backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…5478backed Yes | 56c | 24.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 207 | 33.3%69 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…9e40backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to win the second half?this page
- Australia to win the second half?No won
- United States vs. Australia: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.