Fifa International · resolved market
Canada leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff538ea921e78cf20a95804ba1e00938304360dd4ecc4f6128b07d85cd927a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 60c | 42,948$25,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,108.76 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 23,516$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,947.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…df43backed Yes | 57c | 15,023$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 59c | 13,198$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.06 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 58c | 11,820$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.27 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 11,439$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 10,579$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 42c | 8,064$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.03 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 56c | 6,716$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.44 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…12d8backed No | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 5,764$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 42c | 5,580$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.55 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 5,570$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.1 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 4,825$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 56c | 4,429$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.21 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 3,924$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 42c | 3,913$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.31 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed No | 44c | 3,631$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 59c | 3,391$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 37c | 2,484$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 2,157$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.96 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 58c | 1,579$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.16 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 44c | 1,400$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 40c | 1,371$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.25 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 44c | 1,366$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.97 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 59c | 1,254$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.16 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 62c | 1,248$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.08 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 56c | 999.95$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Yes | 60c | 908.95$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 39c | 888.33$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed No | 41c | 848.12$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.73 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked No | 32c | 716.13$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 62c | 637.69$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 42c | 611.44$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 606.71$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.73 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 43c | 589.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 42c | 519.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…8bdcbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Yes | 60c | 498.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 60c | 478.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked No | 42c | 476.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 462.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 449.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 60c | 436.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…5415backed Yes | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 44c | 400.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 43c | 372.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 366.77$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 41c | 353.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 6c | 338.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 58c | 320.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 56c | 320.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 43c | 306.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 56c | 290$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 59c | 283.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 60c | 255$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 21c | 234.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 43c | 225.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 44c | 218.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 55c | 218.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 199.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 24c | 190.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes | 57c | 183.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…2dbabacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 43c | 176.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 165.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 13c | 151.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 42c | 139.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 61c | 138.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…53a9backed Yes | 58c | 134.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 58c | 125.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed Yes | 62c | 124.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Yes | 60c | 108.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 58c | 107.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…e038backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 30c | 101.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada leading at halftime?this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?No won
- Qatar leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.