Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab26ca72607b0a6d95f7441e1f72656d22b6cd7f62e9d37db497f9ddf29b84b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 10c | 6,098$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.82 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 2,816$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 2,458$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 10c | 2,332$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 2,109$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,775$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…fb9ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 8c | 722.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6b12backed Yes | 7c | 451$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 9c | 357.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…d5dabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 7c | 177.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…92f4backed Yes | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…a7bdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 9c | 114.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…dab5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar leading at halftime?this page
- Canada leading at halftime?Yes won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.