TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No60c17,114$10,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,845.4246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes40c5,000$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.543562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No60c3,515$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.047337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes40c1,875$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No60c1,483$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.22,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes40c1,350$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1715140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c1,042$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3906246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c21…42e8backed Yes42c944.81$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ef…e0e3backed Yes23c896.65$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes40c886.11$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No58c862.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3837959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes3c755.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No59c723.67$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7134357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes40c680$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c669.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.82,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes40c540.03$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.018341%34 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes40c496.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes41c475.9$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.89237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Yes40c473.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.327951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes40c375.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c335$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.112,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked No60c252.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.886250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes40c251.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x301f…48abbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb2d…b308backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes40c246.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.985937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes40c236.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes23c222$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8119935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e05…a5c7backed No61c204.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.931942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f2…cf88backed Yes40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c184.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No64c182.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes40c177.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed Yes40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ef…68dbbacked Yes40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Yes33c153.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4644…a2b6backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffcc…4f93backed Yes23c141.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…959abacked Yes40c135.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.194864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes22c135$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3975…2588backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4940…85adbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92f…e9f5backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cb…9550backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508734.5%30 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…1c33backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No63c114.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c111.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7755153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…9f20backed Yes47c107.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes49c102.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes39c102.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010642.5%45 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a2…9721backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7f…c51abacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405729.8%17 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No65c95.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5316165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed No61c88.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.528955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a8…d351backed Yes40c86.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes35c84.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No67c83.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.337971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10d…5d2bbacked Yes40c82.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.951947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247222.2%16 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No60c77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.822731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bed…90b7backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521250.9%108 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259144%40 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8db…b5b2backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f2b…7c85backed Yes40c57.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850b…be22backed Yes40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f8…83bcbacked Yes40c52.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017271.5%123 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.520539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016836.9%62 W · 106 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.