Fifa International · resolved market
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191b8c8c5dbf8afaaa5de455ef2abe7ff87b17e8ac2673befc713a39dc55673d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 46,250$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.12 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes | 1c | 41,864$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…f9c4backed Yes | 0c | 14,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 59cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 14,736$10,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.13 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 8,923$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.93 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 8,582$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 0c | 4,387$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 76c | 3,818$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.94 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 5c | 2,032$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 70c | 1,166$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.72 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 1,079$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 73c | 950$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 6c | 900$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 27c | 884.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 24c | 880$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 69c | 660.77$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes | 24c | 500.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 492.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 415$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 26c | 378.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 6c | 308.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 67c | 280.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 242$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Yes | 26c | 242$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Yes | 28c | 182.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 139.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked No | 71c | 107.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 60c | 100.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 74c | 97.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 95.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Yes | 26c | 65.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1055…b628backed Yes | 29c | 65.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…0818backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…048ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 77c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 69c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 78c | 12.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 2+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 2+ shotsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haji Wright: 3+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 3+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shotsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Paul Izzo: 4+ savesNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tim Weah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 2+ shotsYes won
- Weston McKennie: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.