Fifa International · resolved market
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012c2e6ea349c79691fa37c9d1f57022d10dcb16102d56d3c67d27e49b2ff499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,054$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 79c | 997.95$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 352.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…50a1backed Yes | 22c | 205.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed Yes | 18c | 199$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes | 18c | 112.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…a6b6backed Yes | 16c | 105.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…53e6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…8c74backed Yes | 20c | 99.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 52.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 2+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 2+ shotsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haji Wright: 3+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 3+ goalsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shotsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Paul Izzo: 4+ savesNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tim Weah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 2+ shotsYes won
- Weston McKennie: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.