Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3017ae93fb12d50ea0d2bdd52022c5e7b1ed3910144883dfdb3edc20e95bf251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof FUT Academy, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked FUT Academy | 27c | 1,643$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked FUT Academy | 36c | 1,497$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 858.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FUT Academy | 49c | 856.41$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 415.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 390.7$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 379.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 299.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked FUT Academy | 10c | 271.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed FUT Academy | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4df8backed FUT Academy | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed FUT Academy | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked FUT Academy | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked FUT Academy | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Academy | 30c | 59.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed FUT Academy | 48c | 52.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 48.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…1248backed FUT Academy | 48c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…7685backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…0220backed FUT Academy | 51c | 19.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Fire Flux Esports | 71c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: FUT Academy vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.