TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x912a…1028

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
541
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT49840.6%202 W · 296 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 498 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.37
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.11
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.62
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.24
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.64
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.47
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.28
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 498 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+113%+$80.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+277.4%+$29.39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+180.4%+$19.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.