TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Vici Gaming, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3936…366dbacked Virtus.pro53c29,639$15,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,794.983250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro40c22,108$8,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,297.0933746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro67c10,595$7,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.5110751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming35c8,377$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.1996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Vici Gaming61c5,589$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming41c5,581$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming46c5,116$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.4989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming48c4,538$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.422,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming60c4,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70034544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Vici Gaming60c4,340$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5943161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming41c4,198$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.021,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Virtus.pro42c4,072$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.7222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming44c3,756$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.781,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming43c3,592$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.231,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked Virtus.pro66c3,515$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Virtus.pro68c3,089$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Vici Gaming59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9915144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Vici Gaming37c2,913$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0904951%25 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming58c2,490$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.371,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Virtus.pro44c2,433$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.7316945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Virtus.pro42c2,128$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.5920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro41c2,007$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.0564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Vici Gaming14c1,931$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Vici Gaming59c1,916$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.0633541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming50c1,833$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.441,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro42c1,750$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Virtus.pro58c1,729$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.931060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming46c1,712$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.1368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Vici Gaming59c1,688$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Virtus.pro66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5443327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Virtus.pro65c1,546$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Virtus.pro42c1,528$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.2612536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Virtus.pro62c1,498$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.372737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming46c1,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming40c1,300$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.92,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Vici Gaming33c1,186$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.093938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Vici Gaming35c1,110$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro43c1,092$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Vici Gaming61c999.98$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9918550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Vici Gaming58c930$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Vici Gaming32c930$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9937223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Vici Gaming36c928.4$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5810618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro70c855.73$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.658746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Vici Gaming58c808.59$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.414843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Vici Gaming58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46446240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro40c757.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.969951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming42c712.36$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Vici Gaming58c702.38$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.3810036%36 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro43c623.59$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.6244645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Vici Gaming33c608.41$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7815650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro65c600.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3353758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Vici Gaming30c582.4$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.726725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming46c572.25$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.091,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming42c550.15$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.092,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Virtus.pro42c500.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0619643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Vici Gaming60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23074549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Vici Gaming19c497.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4524343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Vici Gaming58c495$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.123342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.86031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Vici Gaming58c482.07$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.64850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Vici Gaming61c475$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.753847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Virtus.pro66c454.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.367862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro65c449$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.341,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro71c426.2$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming47c406.17$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8853139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Vici Gaming33c405$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.651060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Vici Gaming17c399.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.119428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Vici Gaming59c398.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.376349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Vici Gaming58c373.33$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x853a…c128backed Virtus.pro69c370$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming46c366$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.141,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro75c365.78$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.441,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Vici Gaming30c361.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014030.7%43 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Virtus.pro69c319.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.999853.1%52 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Vici Gaming44c306.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0516242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vici Gaming33c304.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6334154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16553634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Vici Gaming58c297.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.811949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Virtus.pro76c294.48$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6824034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Virtus.pro55c281.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3738167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming33c265.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.711,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Vici Gaming56c255.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.059444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…611ebacked Virtus.pro63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.513100%13 W · 0 L+4.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Virtus.pro69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.59552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Virtus.pro40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15023746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4008…a334backed Virtus.pro70c244$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick66cpaid+43.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Virtus.pro41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming34c243.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.791,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ee…6863backed Vici Gaming15c240.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df4…2680backed Vici Gaming34c235$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.531010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Virtus.pro43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5616641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed Virtus.pro70c229.87$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.13850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro74c215.14$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7589938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Vici Gaming54c208$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3866947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro38c206.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9815545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Vici Gaming62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.992544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Virtus.pro59c189.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.546758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.