TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Vici Gaming, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming59c26,324$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,449.641,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming44c9,860$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.351,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Virtus.pro40c7,495$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.1328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming60c7,302$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3811,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro58c6,214$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.7143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Virtus.pro41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9915848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming56c4,300$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.9996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro72c4,000$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro41c4,000$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9856542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro52c3,815$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.722,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro40c3,516$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Vici Gaming49c3,424$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.5155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Vici Gaming60c3,308$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008048.8%39 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro49c3,224$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Virtus.pro68c2,923$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1430356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Vici Gaming5c2,812$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.639550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Vici Gaming60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Virtus.pro43c2,306$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Virtus.pro41c2,305$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.6541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro42c2,276$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.3688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro43c2,275$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.581,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro40c2,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35041351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro39c2,202$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.429348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro44c2,195$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.1789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro55c1,997$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.0196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Virtus.pro43c1,859$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.689850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro53c1,841$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.711,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming59c1,697$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro43c1,396$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.5110751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Vici Gaming43c1,170$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro41c1,166$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.981,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Virtus.pro42c1,100$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.0113851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked Virtus.pro42c1,080$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro50c1,041$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.292056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming49c1,016$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Vici Gaming47c1,003$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2515957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Vici Gaming10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed Virtus.pro46c1,000$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5453844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro48c874.58$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Virtus.pro50c805.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4218356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro48c796.05$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.91,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro49c768.1$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.211,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro41c766$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9435151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro41c750$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming45c749.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro52c742.52$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.261,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Vici Gaming51c714.73$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36216328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro40c697.66$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro42c692$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.241,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming60c661.31$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7879959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Vici Gaming12c640.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2852046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro46c627.36$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9656548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro47c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.281,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Virtus.pro41c577$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Virtus.pro42c568.35$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.358150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Vici Gaming48c562.5$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Virtus.pro80c525.76$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1554246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming59c499.95$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9765863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro54c499.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2674549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Virtus.pro44c488.89$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7880544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro54c480$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5686659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked Virtus.pro36c477.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.364245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Vici Gaming57c454.41$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.035950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro40c454.09$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.352,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro41c404$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3627737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…0457backed Virtus.pro42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.952642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Vici Gaming42c355.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming57c317.54$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18161057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro47c312.57$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.721,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Vici Gaming59c310$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.914454.2%78 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Virtus.pro41c306.16$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.635848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Vici Gaming66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19834561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Vici Gaming64c300$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.945951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Vici Gaming54c300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.239660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Virtus.pro58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12642053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming57c299.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.241,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Virtus.pro58c298$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8419352.3%101 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming7c282.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Virtus.pro43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.827636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro43c279.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Virtus.pro42c271$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1841050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming60c267.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7558356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Virtus.pro42c264.88$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.632722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Virtus.pro38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1646049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Vici Gaming59c254.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Virtus.pro57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.520939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Vici Gaming16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.58622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed Virtus.pro50c237.39$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6412151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro41c226.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.021,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed Vici Gaming59c213.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.513144.3%58 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Vici Gaming59c204.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.849650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Vici Gaming53c192.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8316152.2%84 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming57c189.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.361,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro41c187$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4464547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Virtus.pro43c186.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0511652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro42c176.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro43c173$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2479341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.