TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, GLYPH
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed GLYPH45c64,091$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked GLYPH44c26,517$11,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,773.588847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked OG56c20,250$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,91080256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed OG60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00011953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed OG50c18,665$9,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,418.5631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed OG49c16,886$8,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,692.446051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed OG58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9827153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG59c12,894$7,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.2417948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG52c12,431$6,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,937.181,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed OG49c12,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.994035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked GLYPH51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.9510641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked OG58c11,937$6,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,964.841,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed GLYPH52c10,146$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.976139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed GLYPH51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10018351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9819847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed OG49c9,188$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.822848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked GLYPH47c8,282$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.4228159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed GLYPH42c8,062$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.5296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GLYPH41c6,867$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.941,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked OG59c6,585$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.3813851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GLYPH41c6,429$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.291,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked GLYPH1c6,421$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.972119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked OG54c6,000$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.7889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GLYPH42c5,965$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.321,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed OG58c4,814$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.5756955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed OG59c4,800$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98536248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed GLYPH50c4,512$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27638855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd472…a5b2backed GLYPH48c4,420$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1201070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed OG58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed OG53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.973562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked OG56c3,943$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.0561456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked GLYPH42c3,602$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.8441242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked GLYPH50c3,077$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.329839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked OG50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed GLYPH41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH40c2,835$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.931,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed GLYPH38c2,722$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GLYPH40c2,524$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.8168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked OG59c2,521$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.216945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked GLYPH42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.5141055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed OG51c2,298$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.1971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked GLYPH47c2,266$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06513442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed OG54c2,242$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.7919242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH45c2,232$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked OG59c2,103$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.076744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed OG59c2,025$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.2511753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed OG58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed OG48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0407541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed OG58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked GLYPH1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GLYPH1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed OG57c1,929$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.4741351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked GLYPH46c1,902$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9136547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked GLYPH33c1,792$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked GLYPH42c1,775$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74321144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked OG49c1,596$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.217146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked OG49c1,590$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.93847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked OG55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67527143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GLYPH40c1,414$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.381,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed OG59c1,411$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5825248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked OG69c1,400$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42925752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GLYPH41c1,371$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked GLYPH41c1,343$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8612146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed GLYPH41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed OG56c1,215$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.625359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked GLYPH40c1,213$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3414343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed GLYPH42c1,200$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.655038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed GLYPH40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9931547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked OG50c1,162$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58137945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked OG69c1,161$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.348843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed GLYPH35c1,144$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed GLYPH10c1,127$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9720030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked OG59c1,088$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8135951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked GLYPH43c1,076$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6832652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed GLYPH9c1,067$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5427737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed GLYPH42c1,060$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.214136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed OG58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked OG49c1,000$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7526846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed GLYPH51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.997864.1%50 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked OG48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9932951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked GLYPH50c985$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.517047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GLYPH42c967.32$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4645750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed GLYPH24c954.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4558943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked OG54c952.95$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5427060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked GLYPH51c947.64$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5117946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked OG50c944.8$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.994148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked OG49c940.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH36c925.9$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked GLYPH17c900$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14966848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed GLYPH52c866.23$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH42c853.2$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked GLYPH20c801.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2435960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb533…629fbacked GLYPH4c800.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed OG55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed GLYPH43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34461548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH20c725$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed GLYPH49c700$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed GLYPH6c700$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408213.4%11 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.