Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8441f8a48ab97410e243e80e7d7f547124a17f306017aab562d64184417c95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $704,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $820,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 60c | 43,267$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,266.63 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 74c | 41,173$30,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,558.1 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 40,101$18,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,748.53 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 57c | 36,194$20,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,511.68 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 30,905$14,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,231.89 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 27,136$12,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,958.76 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 25,000$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,544.33 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 16,777$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Aurora | 58c | 14,916$8,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.79 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 65c | 14,396$9,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.3 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 58c | 13,416$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.8 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 54c | 11,522$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.01 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 59c | 10,607$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.69 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 10,549$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.12 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 10,500$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.22 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 10,290$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 9,594$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.04 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 54c | 9,272$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.38 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 7,292$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.21 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 6,729$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.43 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 6,453$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.64 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 64c | 5,971$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.49 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 78c | 5,900$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 54c | 5,752$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.52 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 5,442$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.35 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 5,243$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 53c | 4,999$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.42 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 4,181$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.46 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Aurora | 63c | 4,000$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 53c | 3,852$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.48 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Aurora | 77c | 3,800$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 53c | 3,525$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.71 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked Aurora | 67c | 3,418$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 3,331$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.09 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 52c | 3,300$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.62 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 65c | 3,160$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Aurora | 62c | 3,143$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 3,000$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,829$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.18 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,826$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 55c | 2,723$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.01 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 2,676$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 2,646$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,622$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.01 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,593$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 2,590$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.53 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 59c | 2,460$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.47 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,448$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.85 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Aurora | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 67c | 2,362$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.4 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 2,333$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.04 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 58c | 2,298$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.63 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,294$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.18 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Aurora | 53c | 2,253$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.87 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,191$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,150$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.48 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,140$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 64c | 2,068$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.54 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 78c | 2,061$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.15 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,019$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.77 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Aurora | 51c | 2,008$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.72 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 58c | 2,003$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.27 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.26 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 53c | 1,925$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.53 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 64c | 1,897$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.19 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,816$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 53c | 1,806$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.08 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,792$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.18 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,754$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,717$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,647$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.64 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,528$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.03 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 68c | 1,525$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,519$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 56c | 1,514$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.3 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 49c | 1,467$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.02 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,459$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 46c | 1,423$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.11 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,387$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,360$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,334$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.56 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,302$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,251$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.95 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Aurora | 35c | 1,157$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,154$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,100$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.99 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,058$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.51 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,035$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.