TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Under47c17,800$8,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3283357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over56c13,258$7,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.512437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c7,498$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c3,040$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.2776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over55c2,972$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.6140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c2,682$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.0659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c2,535$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.4548950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c2,353$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under46c2,273$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under48c2,154$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over53c1,980$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.0922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c1,717$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.2288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.966058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over53c1,226$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.424845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c1,091$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.771,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c995.53$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.852347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Over54c961.98$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c756.51$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.562,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c690$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under46c664.02$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.452528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c514.93$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c474.63$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2957833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Over54c470.46$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c442.68$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over77c384.05$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over53c320$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.29532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7335428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over60c269.31$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.721250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c255.48$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed Over55c245.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.452138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over54c229.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.799739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Over65c204.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8818449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under40c199.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5410634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over61c198.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over80c196.95$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under46c184.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5722356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over51c178.43$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.432650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under45c166.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c147.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.681,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.118037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62737%10 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over55c106.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.963644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under37c103.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.276338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over55c95.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1827552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over54c95.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0914463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.092147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under40c87.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under21c77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over55c76.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked Over55c63.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under21c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2318842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over59c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0322645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c56.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.213630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c53.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4754340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c51.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over55c50.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9112647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2633551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under42c48.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under44c44.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.674360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1916…ed7ebacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Over68c43.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.914259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Under45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.244223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c40.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over55c38.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.384555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under43c34.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over67c33.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Over55c31.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over55c30.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5822057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.276261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under45c22.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cb…08debacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over55c19.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7718463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.