Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1132cee6232424fca8fdc48d7a597e6e38937ca5225e493e613a5d1ed5a052a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 6,716$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.9 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 4,411$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.35 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 77c | 2,613$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,723$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.16 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 1,550$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 67c | 1,081$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.82 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 54c | 1,005$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 69c | 869.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 601.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 460.32$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 24c | 409.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 30c | 399.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 33c | 364.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 76c | 337.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 331.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 295.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 37c | 255.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 242.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 212.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 48c | 201.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 27c | 165$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 46c | 160.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 76c | 125.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 74c | 115.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…4d8bbacked Under | 65c | 106.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 27c | 91.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 46c | 86.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 58c | 78.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 32c | 78.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 76c | 72.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 69.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 53c | 55.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 52.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 24c | 49.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 23c | 47.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 31c | 42.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 37c | 41.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 46c | 30.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 76c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 76c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…ea7cbacked Under | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.