La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a53abff8d50d2030edffce9b00e3670b2d5d58fa9b6ad2c7d30841726821ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,856$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 1,005$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 47c | 954.59$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 36c | 749.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 650.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 49c | 612.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 292.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 283.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 53c | 271.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 241.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 160.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 19c | 128.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 48c | 103.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 45c | 85.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 47c | 50.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 47c | 41.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 31.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked No | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 55c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 51c | 25.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 48c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.