TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c5,177$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.873,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over41c2,683$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.937031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c2,319$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over62c1,561$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.874645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed Over42c1,560$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c1,456$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.2392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under53c1,391$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.167656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over49c1,381$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9422448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over58c843.33$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3310938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over61c786.89$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c658.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.411444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c621$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1318650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over47c591.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c541.84$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.031,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c364.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c299.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16415344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c286.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7549…c7e8backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c222.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.561,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Over47c210.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5510461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over56c179.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under6c177.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Under45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over65c136.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9234050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c120.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c106.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.852,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3849228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.262948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under56c103.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over46c99.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9911449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c91.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9237348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under42c88.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.366937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under55c87.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under54c83.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.197850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.173053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.93650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6314552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over46c64.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7832444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over55c62.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1759655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over61c60.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.662544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.87949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under54c58.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.512347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8589…bd9cbacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c55.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1720441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Under54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under52c48.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.227936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4511857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4422157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.484163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x82ad…9a2bbacked Under38c39.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c39.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Over66c39.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.491154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under54c36.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7217061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9110361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Under54c28.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.444553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9891…102bbacked Over69c26.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over61c24.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over48c22.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.598354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under62c19.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.265343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under52c19.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.042540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.