Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaadb4b2f357b94b0454c515ca0c416e71243e0c386420f2b95416957b1221ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 894.37$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 49c | 852.3$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.86 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 61c | 662.13$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 45c | 594.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 29c | 536.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 62c | 395.72$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 319.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 319.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 319.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 246.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 61c | 234.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 40c | 180.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed No | 56c | 173.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 60c | 160.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 111.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 106$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 40c | 74.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 43c | 50.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 33.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Yes | 61c | 29.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.