TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under52c49,401$25,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,688.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over48c8,275$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Under1c7,833$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.331330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over48c7,064$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.371050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over46c5,617$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c5,484$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.549954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over48c5,044$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.783836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c4,760$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.611540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0809754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over48c2,981$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under12c2,728$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.661421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under54c2,454$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over65c2,155$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,050$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.623,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Over48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over47c1,936$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.294050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9104761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7808350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,495$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.2891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c1,285$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.042958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5821258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over48c1,002$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.782951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c961$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c940.57$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.0516543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over47c607.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.784141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c525.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.973221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.41,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.41,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c518.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c516.86$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.771,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c498$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2347958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over63c418$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.661855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under44c405.39$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8514552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.912846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c397.49$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under17c323.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over47c286.73$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over48c273.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3212358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under39c266$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.261827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6013…3348backed Over44c255$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0a…6165backed Over48c250.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305759.6%34 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1306552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under38c248.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over78c225.48$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c221.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5138453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.26555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.26457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over49c207.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over47c205.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under50c197$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.632147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over48c185$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.26759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c184.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c184.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.389056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c184.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over50c179.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.67143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c177.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.868853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c177.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8610956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under54c177.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over62c157.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.935158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Over48c150.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c148.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over47c134.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6daa…1593backed Under36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over59c122.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over48c100.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Under53c100.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527166.2%47 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c95.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over47c89.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.664751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under54c88.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.781553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under36c85.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3238047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over48c82.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.114751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Over48c80.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over48c75.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.153030%9 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.