Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60868f82fe9f6fadaffd37d79d36fd98cb6884a8d76a7f5bb13dad7ed1702257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked No | 50c | 1,876$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 51c | 937.04$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 50c | 845.87$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 49c | 845.06$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 795.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 750.44$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Yes | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked Yes | 52c | 299.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 53c | 295.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 269.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 206.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 204.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 178.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 148.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed No | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 139.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed No | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 108.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 105.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…b6e6backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 50c | 96.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8139backed Yes | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 68.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 66.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 53c | 52.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 51c | 44.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 32.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 50c | 29.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 50c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.