Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb810cb5ec8ee987eca1e0ffc19fd3258e1e01b21d126c0758693b2b0848186d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Bragaof SC Braga, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed SC Braga | 8c | 11,726$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…9405backed SC Braga | 7c | 1,759$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,347.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…035cbacked SC Braga | 6c | 1,235$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…3815backed SC Braga | 6c | 917$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SC Braga | 7c | 913.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.73 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…f7b0backed SC Braga | 6c | 906$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe402…d026backed SC Braga | 6c | 890$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6d…ff8ebacked SC Braga | 6c | 875$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…a9debacked SC Braga | 7c | 870$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,342.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…9e53backed SC Braga | 6c | 870$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,539.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…d716backed SC Braga | 6c | 840$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +687.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…f001backed SC Braga | 6c | 837$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…c9c0backed SC Braga | 6c | 770$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…7179backed SC Braga | 6c | 764$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…0875backed SC Braga | 6c | 755$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d1a2backed SC Braga | 6c | 745$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…b34dbacked SC Braga | 6c | 740$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,539.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…fce1backed SC Braga | 6c | 730$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad27…d948backed SC Braga | 6c | 716$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,539.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…de39backed SC Braga | 6c | 712$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,539.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…95b4backed SC Braga | 6c | 680$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SC Braga | 78c | 622.15$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…6ca5backed SC Braga | 6c | 615.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 364.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed SC Braga | 7c | 209.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed SC Braga | 8c | 180.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Real Betis Balompié | 34c | 115.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 47.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked SC Braga | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.