Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304537db52015e24c9cbe8f8d6fd249d10656b215cbe8261d3ee95c7fbdd99a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,107$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 24c | 1,176$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.7 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Over | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 32c | 663.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 40c | 581.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 524.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 76c | 520.69$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 510.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 499.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.91 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 354.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 303.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 73c | 258.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 63c | 232.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 64c | 198.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 73c | 189.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 187.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 27c | 186.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 11c | 182.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 39c | 168.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 60c | 143.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 120.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 62c | 120.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 120.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 119.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 25c | 118.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Under | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Under | 74c | 102.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Under | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 74c | 93.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 62c | 93.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Under | 74c | 88.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 40c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 72.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 68.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…c1ebbacked Under | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 24c | 63.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 60.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 61c | 52.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Under | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 76c | 45.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 38c | 45.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 44.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 74c | 38.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 75c | 37.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 76c | 34.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 29.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 63c | 18.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 79c | 13.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.