Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44148f8d25bee784ffd5e227826df40c27c8397f8375ba22b0b315caef6b881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 2,020$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 74c | 2,011$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed Over | 74c | 1,607$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 1,089$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 983.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 12c | 826.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 20c | 764$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 76c | 646.85$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 578.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 26c | 427$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 73c | 420.23$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Over | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 27c | 294.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 267.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 248.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 231$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 28c | 208.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Over | 73c | 174.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 160.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 158.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 149.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 145.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 26c | 142.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over | 75c | 127.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…4517backed Over | 79c | 119.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 74c | 78.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 68c | 71.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 69.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 74c | 68.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 74c | 66.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 54.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Over | 73c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 73c | 44.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 27c | 41.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 26c | 39.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…29eabacked Over | 73c | 24.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 73c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.