Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb811c397c8425df0683694ef92bfc1c848acbc8d057fdfe8cf7447f227aada95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 3,913$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.36 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,827$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.95 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 2,137$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.68 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,883$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 54c | 1,859$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 50c | 1,834$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 50c | 1,631$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,352$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.58 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 50c | 1,098$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.95 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 50c | 1,043$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 979.55$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.98 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 52c | 962.46$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 54c | 931.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 50c | 906$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 35c | 800$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 55c | 793.19$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 70c | 770.29$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 48c | 638.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 47c | 622.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 47c | 595.67$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 523.94$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 452.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 49c | 393.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 61c | 370.39$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 270.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 270.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 55c | 261.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Yes | 55c | 218.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 50c | 201.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…7554backed Yes | 50c | 200.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 51c | 194.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 70c | 189.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 174.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 52c | 174.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 70c | 161.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…c5cebacked Yes | 53c | 154.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 53c | 152.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…9cdcbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 49c | 123.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed Yes | 68c | 89.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 48c | 65.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…0678backed Yes | 54c | 64.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes | 49c | 45.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…ffd3backed Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 52c | 38.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 51c | 35.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 59c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Yes | 54c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed No | 49c | 28.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…2766backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Yes | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Yes | 52c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…c744backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…47bebacked Yes | 61c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC leading at halftime?this page
- Everton FC leading at halftime?No won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.