La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebaf383b16a9f35db37827375b3e62a2bb04bb0476b29a71e0d696ac6f2a979a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,125$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…e804backed Yes | 61c | 638.43$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 40c | 450.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 53c | 441.77$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 40c | 351.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 322.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 320.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 62c | 285.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 66c | 268.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 39c | 256.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 61c | 233.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 64c | 219.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 38c | 205.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 60c | 154.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes | 61c | 134.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 66c | 114.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 90.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 40c | 86.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…8fbfbacked Yes | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Yes | 60c | 64.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 45c | 63.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 60c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…099dbacked Yes | 61c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6695backed Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 63c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 61c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Draw at halftime?No won
- RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.