MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464992e12ee92211fec2d2f212d919b79d80aefc1efdbc19d8ccaf32b2a87ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 53,502$27,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,285.9 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 19,760$9,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,235.32 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 19,218$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 16,643$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 15,306$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.12 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 14,567$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,266.66 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 12,700$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.96 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 12,393$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 10,030$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 9,783$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.14 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 9,260$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,370.62 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 8,070$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 7,146$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.86 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 6,328$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.91 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 6,249$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,882$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 5,865$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.29 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,137$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,960$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.63 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 4,048$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.28 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,023$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.17 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,912$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.59 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…e551backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,791$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,475$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,241$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.52 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,153$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,889$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.83 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,871$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.59 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,805$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.78 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,610$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,452$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.7 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,313$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.92 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,296$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.91 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,173$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,155$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 2,000$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,990$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.85 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,754$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,723$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.54 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,683$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.94 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,643$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.19 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 1,627$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.18 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,587$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 1,575$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,501$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.33 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,407$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.82 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,346$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.17 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,318$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.98 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,267$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.94 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,266$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.15 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,250$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,237$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,193$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.66 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…384abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,134$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.44 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 961.21$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.68 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 938.58$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 909.54$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.1 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 900$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 840$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 802.15$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.62 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 802$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 774.3$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 741.25$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.43 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 700.07$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 612$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 574.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 569.1$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 562.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 553.07$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 541.91$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 528.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.94 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 512.5$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 506.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 448.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 446.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.