TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Gen.G68c28,939$19,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,380.1220339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Red Force31c25,540$7,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,955.7754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Nongshim Red Force30c19,369$5,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,794.9525143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Gen.G68c14,619$9,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,678.071,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gen.G69c12,899$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.661,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Nongshim Red Force32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Nongshim Red Force33c11,455$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.512236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Gen.G70c11,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gen.G68c10,200$6,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim Red Force31c8,517$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.5757246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Gen.G68c7,500$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Nongshim Red Force30c6,668$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.438235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Nongshim Red Force31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Nongshim Red Force32c5,706$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82613831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Nongshim Red Force29c5,570$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.841439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Gen.G69c5,560$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.621559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Gen.G70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gen.G68c4,322$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.3170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Gen.G69c4,320$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.753753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Nongshim Red Force31c3,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0851,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Nongshim Red Force30c3,243$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.7625447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Gen.G69c3,230$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.311,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Nongshim Red Force32c3,007$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.422142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Gen.G70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gen.G69c2,925$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.811,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Gen.G70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.1426155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Gen.G69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ce…356dbacked Nongshim Red Force32c2,491$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.07825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,447$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7834940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,408$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.0749847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,275$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.625234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nongshim Red Force31c2,075$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.361,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.0431337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Nongshim Red Force30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9857945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,960$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.47626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Nongshim Red Force33c1,868$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.452638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Gen.G69c1,746$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.262356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G67c1,714$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.051,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed Nongshim Red Force35c1,692$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Nongshim Red Force33c1,667$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Gen.G71c1,661$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8313752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Nongshim Red Force18c1,604$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.84528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Gen.G69c1,492$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5420557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Nongshim Red Force25c1,178$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7512934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,053$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33714848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim Red Force30c1,016$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.132,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Gen.G70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Gen.G67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Gen.G75c999.95$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9926360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked Gen.G70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Gen.G68c888$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim Red Force31c887.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.261,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Gen.G69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5723672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Gen.G67c799.99$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26812462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4378…234abacked Nongshim Red Force32c799.31$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Gen.G71c767.32$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5211655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nongshim Red Force32c731.25$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23475630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Gen.G69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6411959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…0076backed Nongshim Red Force16c645.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Nongshim Red Force31c630.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.52,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Nongshim Red Force32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Gen.G69c578.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Nongshim Red Force40c555.97$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1112446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Nongshim Red Force20c555.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Gen.G69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15521150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Nongshim Red Force31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15528843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Nongshim Red Force33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nongshim Red Force31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Gen.G69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15564453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Gen.G68c494.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Gen.G70c490$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Nongshim Red Force32c440$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.86434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed Nongshim Red Force32c440$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc25c…1b21backed Nongshim Red Force33c439.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01a…86c2backed Nongshim Red Force33c436.36$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Gen.G69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.788767.8%59 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeec2…f266backed Nongshim Red Force32c431.25$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Nongshim Red Force33c422.44$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5133139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Gen.G66c421$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.931,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Gen.G68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Gen.G69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12466059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Nongshim Red Force23c389.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8152045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Gen.G69c376.81$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8150956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gen.G68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6565063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Gen.G69c350$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6717561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Gen.G64c340$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Gen.G70c323.76$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1355347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nongshim Red Force31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked Gen.G59c299.97$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9917659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed Nongshim Red Force32c290.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937733.8%26 W · 51 L-10.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Gen.G69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8641743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim Red Force19c276.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.581,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gen.G67c270$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.12,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nongshim Red Force31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.460538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91dc…7663backed Nongshim Red Force27c234$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.144341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Gen.G69c221$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.517160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Nongshim Red Force33c221$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9332939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Gen.G69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.285746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Gen.G70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Gen.G69c210.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2711561.7%71 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.