Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13b11f2d31ae93ba6fc5dce198c064452903fee8455a7e4820f461db0c27e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 70c | 26,200$18,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.05 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 30c | 14,419$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.4 | 387 | 35.9%139 W · 248 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 30c | 13,515$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.01 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 70c | 3,165$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.52 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 72c | 1,860$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.48 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Under | 71c | 1,792$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 71c | 1,295$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.55 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 29c | 1,110$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Over | 29c | 1,084$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Under | 76c | 849.79$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 20c | 834.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 829.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 30c | 686.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…b4f0backed Under | 71c | 573.15$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 27c | 291.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Over | 31c | 285.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 72c | 270.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 74c | 238.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 204.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 29c | 186$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 72c | 139.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 28c | 136.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Over | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2c…0750backed Over | 20c | 118.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 74c | 97.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 29c | 95.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 71c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 73c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 71c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 71c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…31f4backed Under | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Under | 71c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under | 69c | 19.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked Under | 72c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…fe34backed Under | 77c | 13.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.