Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5574ae85145becd7f9cff9bdf1b01be34aece9cba7f8ed74ab98ca1e4b3f0f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof Grind Back, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grind Back | 36c | 573.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.97 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked GLYPH | 53c | 439.78$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Grind Back | 32c | 354$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed GLYPH | 73c | 330.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 59c | 244.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 53c | 220.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed GLYPH | 63c | 207.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 61c | 205.89$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Grind Back | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GLYPH | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 14c | 141.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked GLYPH | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Grind Back | 46c | 106.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Grind Back | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked GLYPH | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Grind Back | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed GLYPH | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed GLYPH | 66c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed GLYPH | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed GLYPH | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed GLYPH | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked GLYPH | 65c | 31.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked GLYPH | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked GLYPH | 60c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Grind Back | 59c | 24.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…e5c2backed GLYPH | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed GLYPH | 78c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.