Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46712a9266c8487678ff25fccfdf85c9be904d552530ed5ca3bb06652940049a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Nigma Galaxy, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 55c | 39,975$22,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,828.73 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 18,389$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 10,022$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.48 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PlayTime | 59c | 9,050$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 56c | 8,589$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.95 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 6,921$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.42 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 6,526$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.12 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 6,382$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,787$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.65 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 5,187$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.53 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 4,362$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 4,222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 58c | 3,111$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.62 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PlayTime | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,801$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,788$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,531$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.05 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked PlayTime | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,355$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.77 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 57c | 2,200$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.91 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,847$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,786$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,750$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,739$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.94 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,583$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.59 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,477$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,399$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.3 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,397$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.59 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,313$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.98 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 62c | 1,249$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.37 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 62c | 1,231$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PlayTime | 60c | 1,056$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.69 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.77 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed PlayTime | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,000$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.66 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed PlayTime | 53c | 892.13$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PlayTime | 61c | 814.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 800$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PlayTime | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 796.55$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 786.88$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…73e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 755.43$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 37c | 750$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.35 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 739.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 700.82$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 672.35$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed PlayTime | 60c | 660.76$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 658$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 632.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 600$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 599.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 599.36$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 580$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 48c | 427.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 377.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.23 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 375$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PlayTime | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked PlayTime | 78c | 304.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked PlayTime | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 51c | 282.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…15eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 264.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PlayTime | 32c | 260$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 254.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 56c | 252.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 245.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed PlayTime | 57c | 245.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 244.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 244.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 235$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed PlayTime | 45c | 221.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 60c | 205.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 200.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 65c | 195$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 180$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed PlayTime | 55c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PlayTime | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed PlayTime | 60c | 174.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 171.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PlayTime | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 166.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 165$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 57c | 149.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 130.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime | 65c | 129.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 119.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 119.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- First Blood in Game 2?Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.