Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd641fdf109fffcaf982e4d93541089fbf6284e9d52d35b96593589199505fa33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Nigma Galaxy, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 82,539$38,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,793.41 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 54c | 69,190$37,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,586.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PlayTime | 60c | 14,030$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 10,532$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.98 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 9,776$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 70c | 9,639$6,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.31 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 62c | 9,498$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.39 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 60c | 8,857$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 60c | 8,076$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 58c | 7,924$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.69 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 68c | 6,187$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.76 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 53c | 5,868$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.92 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,750$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.35 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 62c | 5,701$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.37 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 5,063$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.12 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,071$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.08 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 3,897$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.84 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 3,818$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 3,604$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 53c | 3,421$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.76 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 3,057$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.64 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,968$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.64 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 71c | 2,697$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 2,594$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.59 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,498$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PlayTime | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,358$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,324$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.38 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PlayTime | 55c | 1,112$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,081$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,001$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.61 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed PlayTime | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 74c | 840.83$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PlayTime | 70c | 829$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime | 80c | 676.41$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 667.76$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.88 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PlayTime | 50c | 659.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 67c | 649.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 604.08$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PlayTime | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 63c | 597.31$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 542.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed PlayTime | 56c | 529.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…3616backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 526$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 56c | 504.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PlayTime | 61c | 496.61$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 449.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 62c | 435.63$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 61c | 422.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 79c | 402.11$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 347.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 68c | 338.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 317.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 293$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 264.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…c128backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 254.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 59c | 253.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PlayTime | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PlayTime | 77c | 226.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 201.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed PlayTime | 58c | 195.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PlayTime | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 165.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed PlayTime | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PlayTime | 78c | 144.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 139.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked PlayTime | 62c | 138.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 71c | 121.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed PlayTime | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PlayTime | 55c | 112.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 54c | 111.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 110.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 106.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked PlayTime | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed PlayTime | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed PlayTime | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- First Blood in Game 2?Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.