CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6315ff15be7c72c8b6253a14741ef70f0403faa34a10514066eecc3ac43b2c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 71c | 12,731$9,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte | 34c | 4,111$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.36 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 19c | 2,040$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Heroic | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Monte | 40c | 1,508$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Monte | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Monte | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Monte | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Monte | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Monte | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Monte | 22c | 1,463$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte | 28c | 1,306$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte | 13c | 1,198$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 68c | 1,049$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked Monte | 40c | 1,020$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.62 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Monte | 35c | 954.62$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 79c | 669.47$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monte | 27c | 627.28$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ee0cbacked Monte | 38c | 624.32$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74f…a9cebacked Monte | 48c | 596.75$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Monte | 32c | 590$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Monte | 25c | 588.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic | 69c | 585.33$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Monte | 41c | 560.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Monte | 17c | 548.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 66c | 504.54$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Heroic | 61c | 453.44$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Monte | 10c | 440$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Monte | 10c | 440$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Heroic | 59c | 437.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Monte | 25c | 433.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Heroic | 64c | 418.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Monte | 26c | 364.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Heroic | 53c | 334.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Monte | 17c | 265$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Monte | 37c | 263.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Monte | 35c | 246.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Monte | 25c | 239.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Heroic | 76c | 220.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Heroic | 69c | 220.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked Heroic | 69c | 211.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Monte | 41c | 205.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Monte | 26c | 195$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Monte | 14c | 174.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Monte | 37c | 146.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Monte | 28c | 120.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Heroic | 68c | 107.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Heroic | 60c | 105.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Monte | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Monte | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Monte | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Monte | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte | 28c | 99.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Heroic | 52c | 94.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Monte | 20c | 88.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Monte | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Monte | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Monte | 34c | 79.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Heroic | 62c | 74.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Heroic | 75c | 73.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monte | 31c | 67.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Heroic | 75c | 58.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked Monte | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Heroic | 73c | 44.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Monte | 25c | 44.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Heroic | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Monte | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Heroic | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Heroic | 62c | 35.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…6b55backed Heroic | 68c | 34.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Monte | 32c | 32.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Monte | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Monte | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…236ebacked Heroic | 76c | 23.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Heroic | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Monte | 63c | 21.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Heroic | 68c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.