Tennis · resolved market
Huzhou: Jiajing Lu vs Varvara Panshina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e027d4a3908d1f859021a55126a4f92514d8420c133ee19b6acf5bfccc3e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varvara Panshinaof Jiajing Lu, Varvara Panshina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 8,626$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.85 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 7,113$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.08 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Jiajing Lu | 40c | 4,995$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiajing Lu | 20c | 4,143$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Varvara Panshina | 71c | 2,835$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Jiajing Lu | 8c | 1,743$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Jiajing Lu | 11c | 1,570$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 1,126$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.21 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jiajing Lu | 42c | 1,120$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Jiajing Lu | 15c | 1,100$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Jiajing Lu | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Panshina | 58c | 904.66$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Varvara Panshina | 62c | 830.65$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 783.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Jiajing Lu | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jiajing Lu | 18c | 445.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Jiajing Lu | 9c | 422.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Jiajing Lu | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Jiajing Lu | 13c | 392.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Varvara Panshina | 77c | 377.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Jiajing Lu | 17c | 282.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Jiajing Lu | 41c | 279.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Jiajing Lu | 23c | 265.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Jiajing Lu | 15c | 264.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…d168backed Jiajing Lu | 20c | 171.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Jiajing Lu | 21c | 168.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Varvara Panshina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jiajing Lu | 20c | 154.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jiajing Lu | 12c | 148.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Varvara Panshina | 60c | 137.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 129.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiajing Lu | 21c | 124.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 119.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Varvara Panshina | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Jiajing Lu | 22c | 98.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Jiajing Lu | 21c | 83.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Varvara Panshina | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Varvara Panshina | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Varvara Panshina | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Jiajing Lu | 17c | 68.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…aef1backed Jiajing Lu | 20c | 64.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Jiajing Lu | 40c | 61.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Jiajing Lu | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Varvara Panshina | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jiajing Lu | 39c | 47.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Panshina | 66c | 43.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…e8a1backed Varvara Panshina | 62c | 36.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 85 | 75.3%64 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Varvara Panshina | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jiajing Lu | 42c | 27.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f6…95eabacked Varvara Panshina | 77c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Jiajing Lu | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Varvara Panshina | 80c | 23.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Varvara Panshina | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Varvara Panshina | 60c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Varvara Panshina | 59c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Varvara Panshina | 58c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Varvara Panshina | 59c | 18.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Varvara Panshina | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.