TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$624,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$693,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies42c167,685$70,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,405.7431149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New York Mets58c100,000$58,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,00041149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Colorado Rockies11c40,264$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.248850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets58c24,667$14,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,324.842,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Colorado Rockies36c21,126$7,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,682.5730140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Colorado Rockies41c14,444$5,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,922.0338148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed New York Mets69c13,645$9,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.7231958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Colorado Rockies37c13,516$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies14c12,775$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.851,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets69c12,264$8,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.731,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets60c12,158$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.761,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies7c11,071$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies14c10,647$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.611,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed New York Mets58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Mets58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20046547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Colorado Rockies40c6,304$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed New York Mets64c6,222$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.3637953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Colorado Rockies2c5,731$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5819143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Colorado Rockies39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Colorado Rockies12c4,733$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.2679147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Colorado Rockies1c4,649$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7440629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed New York Mets61c4,365$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.263253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets65c4,055$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.889350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies3c3,688$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.121,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets59c3,671$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.181,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Rockies19c3,652$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.111,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Colorado Rockies0c3,454$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.858762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets66c3,398$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.751,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Colorado Rockies6c3,142$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9875344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies3c2,980$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4878146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Colorado Rockies38c2,975$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.257548%36 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies4c2,758$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Colorado Rockies8c2,610$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.776936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Colorado Rockies40c2,526$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Colorado Rockies40c2,508$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies41c2,360$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.562,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Colorado Rockies1c2,344$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies39c2,309$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.495,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Colorado Rockies7c2,183$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Colorado Rockies1c2,111$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.745852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Colorado Rockies2c2,027$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Colorado Rockies10c2,009$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19216814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed New York Mets60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies12c1,773$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.928,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Colorado Rockies40c1,734$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.637348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies10c1,707$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Colorado Rockies34c1,669$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2161352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Colorado Rockies40c1,599$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7420647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado Rockies2c1,494$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.963929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies40c1,491$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3261947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets62c1,321$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Colorado Rockies9c1,314$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4384140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Colorado Rockies4c1,301$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets59c1,238$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.391,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets60c1,096$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.981,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies9c1,081$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.491,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Colorado Rockies18c975.4$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6757758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Colorado Rockies31c953.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.578534.1%29 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets58c952.78$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.171,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed New York Mets59c942.64$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets67c920.53$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Colorado Rockies28c830.19$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.149435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies40c824.22$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.021,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Colorado Rockies39c768.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Colorado Rockies34c750.06$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25470546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Colorado Rockies3c730$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.977143.7%31 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Colorado Rockies7c710.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3433515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets59c680$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Colorado Rockies6c652.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.134436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies35c649$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.152,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed New York Mets65c638.95$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.635457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Colorado Rockies40c620$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Colorado Rockies14c595.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6888046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets59c551.12$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9697944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Colorado Rockies47c550.04$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.525959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…3f0fbacked New York Mets57c548.84$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2361553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19017768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked New York Mets58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Colorado Rockies6c491.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Colorado Rockies22c461.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies8c438$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed New York Mets59c430$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.320851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets58c412$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.041,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8494034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies33c372.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.928,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Colorado Rockies40c370.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies40c352.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6263644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Colorado Rockies41c350$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies40c350$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.71,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies40c334.19$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.011,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Colorado Rockies36c333.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed New York Mets59c287.22$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7612244.3%54 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets63c284.55$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5581257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies41c281.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4633241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Colorado Rockies38c261.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9925351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Colorado Rockies39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.