MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ade51ab99a1d1cc6b8e8c3d01232eff01fd7ef595b345487d95fc0bd851113b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 58c | 5,880$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 36c | 4,874$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 4,700$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 3,320$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 2,592$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 1,141$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.56 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 785$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 42c | 505$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 275.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 262.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 256.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 48c | 183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 64c | 72.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 63.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 55.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 63c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 41c | 42.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 40c | 41.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 40c | 37.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.