MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe57b0ad7d836e6ffdda4dcf424d9a47984ffd8dc58227efcc8954b2e961894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 5,066$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.31 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 49c | 3,215$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.65 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 3,136$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,981$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 892.79$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 777.3$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 55c | 479.1$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 284.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 243.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…807ebacked Under | 51c | 201.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 189.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 174.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 147.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 50c | 103.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Over | 45c | 90.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 50c | 85.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 81.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 58.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 57.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 45c | 46.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 56c | 42.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 47c | 35.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 57c | 32.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313f…4032backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Under | 55c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Over | 43c | 23.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 60c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.