NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee96a5380d2961356d87dcdec369a69f4873ac8528b8473ae68f4ebcfea72e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kraken | 43c | 23,175$10,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.14 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Kraken | 45c | 8,941$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Avalanche | 56c | 7,677$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche | 57c | 6,163$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.02 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 56c | 5,317$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.41 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Kraken | 49c | 5,244$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.02 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 50c | 3,194$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.93 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,076$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.85 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,941$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Avalanche | 43c | 2,222$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.5 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,127$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kraken | 58c | 2,115$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.65 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Avalanche | 47c | 2,059$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.45 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 53c | 2,016$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,548$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Avalanche | 43c | 1,309$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.09 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,219$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,161$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.24 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Kraken | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kraken | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Kraken | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.29 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Kraken | 47c | 879$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Avalanche | 41c | 856.38$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kraken | 52c | 835.82$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 56c | 764.5$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.43 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 717.27$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 52c | 670.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Kraken | 58c | 646.26$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Kraken | 50c | 640.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Avalanche | 43c | 587.94$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 43c | 523.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kraken | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Avalanche | 36c | 490.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 43c | 429.09$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Avalanche | 55c | 415.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 407.31$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 41c | 365.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Kraken | 47c | 360.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 50c | 355.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…d0b5backed Avalanche | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche | 44c | 327.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Kraken | 64c | 303.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Avalanche | 57c | 290.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche | 38c | 288.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Kraken | 59c | 281.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…dc51backed Kraken | 58c | 259.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Kraken | 57c | 250.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Kraken | 56c | 223.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kraken | 51c | 205.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43e…c49cbacked Avalanche | 47c | 205.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 48c | 205.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Avalanche | 41c | 203.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Kraken | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Avalanche | 49c | 177.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Avalanche | 42c | 172.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Avalanche | 42c | 167.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Avalanche | 55c | 167.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Kraken | 59c | 163.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…4f9cbacked Kraken | 57c | 147.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Kraken | 60c | 135.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Avalanche | 53c | 133.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kraken | 59c | 124.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Avalanche | 47c | 124.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Avalanche | 43c | 123.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Kraken | 56c | 115.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 68c | 112.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 43c | 111.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Avalanche | 43c | 111.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 43c | 111.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Avalanche | 57c | 111.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 104.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Kraken | 54c | 102.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Avalanche | 60c | 99.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Kraken | 52c | 93.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Avalanche | 56c | 89.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…af24backed Avalanche | 47c | 88.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Avalanche | 53c | 81.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…ab70backed Avalanche | 42c | 80.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Avalanche | 57c | 71.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Avalanche | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Kraken | 60c | 67.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…82f4backed Kraken | 61c | 64.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Avalanche | 41c | 63.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Kraken | 44c | 62.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…c6e4backed Avalanche | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Avalanche | 52c | 58.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 40c | 56.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Avalanche | 43c | 55.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Kraken | 56c | 55.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Kraken | 53c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Avalanche | 45c | 54.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2d…df85backed Avalanche | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avalanche | 42c | 53.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 53.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kraken | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Avalanche | 77c | 49.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Avalanche | 42c | 49.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Kraken | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Kraken vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.