NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14849c48e347f3ec02393b04a7406534a661e033b4f04baf0e4a4787db8c135d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 25c | 3,769$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 10c | 2,085$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Over | 58c | 1,317$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 837.69$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 75c | 617.53$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 55c | 602.34$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 76c | 567.27$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 43c | 460.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 10c | 450.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 429.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 343.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 58c | 303$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Over | 30c | 294.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 228.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 25c | 208.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Over | 52c | 186.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 66c | 141.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 58c | 102.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 99.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 40c | 75.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 42c | 74.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 42c | 72.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 21c | 52.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 69c | 51.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 77c | 48.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 78c | 40.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 44c | 37.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 75c | 32.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 58c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…81d6backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 76c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 62c | 20.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 76c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.