CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebe8e3957ea1076daf845b4ce86112eaa6756d58e6c5e3b1e90b0482e19a3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 1,387$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.14 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 1,123$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…1933backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 19c | 855.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga | 66c | 845.57$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nemiga | 75c | 790.78$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga | 72c | 759.82$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 544.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…235abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 335.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Nemiga | 60c | 252.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 8c | 244.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 229.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 7c | 213.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 211.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Nemiga | 64c | 198.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 71c | 156.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 126.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 68c | 126.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…5187backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 121.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nemiga | 71c | 110.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga | 65c | 102.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Nemiga | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Nemiga | 64c | 90.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nemiga | 75c | 74.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 67.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Nemiga | 74c | 61.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 77c | 60.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 50.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Nemiga | 59c | 49.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 77c | 46.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 38.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nemiga | 73c | 38.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Nemiga | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nemiga | 63c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nemiga | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Nemiga | 74c | 24.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Nemiga | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Nemiga | 46c | 22.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Nemiga | 64c | 21.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…ebbdbacked Nemiga | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.